Demonstration project · Self-initiated

Your "recycled" T-shirt doesn't cut carbon. It cuts something else.

I took the same basic T-shirt and made it three ways — virgin cotton, recycled cotton and recycled polyester (rPET) — from field to incinerator, including its 50 washes. All three are sold as "the sustainable option". Recycling doesn't save the climate; it saves land, water and pesticides. This case takes it all the way to an EPD and a Digital Product Passport.

Scope
Cradle-to-grave + use
Functional unit
One T-shirt · 50 washes
Method
EF 3.1 · PEFCR A&F
Data
Public database (BAFU)

kg CO₂ eq per T-shirt, cradle-to-grave with 50 washes (line-dried). Same T-shirt, three fibres.

4.66 kg
Virgin cotton
the baseline
4.48 kg
Recycled cotton (30%)
−4% · carbon barely moves
3.29 kg
Recycled polyester (rPET)
the cleanest… and there's the catch
Executive summary

Three findings, one case

"Recycled" has a sustainable aura. The numbers say it depends on what you look at: in carbon almost nothing changes; in land and pesticides it changes everything. And no single figure, on its own, protects you from greenwashing.

The business question

What decision does this case answer?

The same T-shirt: virgin cotton, recycled cotton or recycled polyester. All three are "the sustainable one". Which weighs least, and what data do you prove it with when the passport asks?

Recycling moves one thing a lot (land, water, pesticides) and another barely at all (climate), and the "cleanest" result hides what the calculation can't see. Any textile brand or buyer has this decision at stake, and the ESPR is going to start asking for the data to back it up.

How it was done

Rigour, in plain English

A cradle-to-grave LCA including the use phase: from growing the fibre to end of life, through spinning, weaving, dyeing, making-up, Asia→EU transport and washing. The unit of comparison is having a clean T-shirt available for 50 washes.

It was modelled in OpenLCA with EF 3.1, aligned with the Apparel & Footwear PEFCR (the European textile footprint rule), using an ecoinvent-type public database (BAFU). Recycling is handled with a cut-off approach.

Why "EPD" here isn't a construction EPD

In construction, the declaration follows EN 15804. Not in textiles: a garment's "EPD" (DAP in Spanish) is, in practice, a PEF profile following the PEFCR. It's the format the Commission recommends for substantiating environmental claims, and the basis of the footprint block in the Digital Passport.

Bars showing each fibre's impact relative to virgin cotton across five categories. On climate all four are nearly tied; on land use and ecotoxicity recycled cotton and rPET fall below 30%.
Figure 1 · Multi-criteria profile. Impact of each fibre relative to virgin cotton (=100%). rPET wins in all five, but on climate the gap is minimal; where recycling pulls away is land and pesticides.
Results

A winner per criterion, not a single winner

No fibre honestly wins on everything. On climate change all four are nearly tied — garment production dominates, not the fibre — but on land use, water and pesticides they separate completely. That's where recycling sweeps the board, because it skips cotton farming.

Recycling cotton doesn't cut carbon (and the label misleads on the %)

Switching from virgin to recycled cotton cuts the carbon footprint by 4%. Not even an ideal 100% recycled cotton goes beyond 13%. In a T-shirt, the carbon comes from spinning, weaving, dyeing and washing. And the small print: a shop-bought "recycled cotton" T-shirt is usually 30% recycled + 70% virgin, so it saves less than a third of what the label suggests.

Where recycling does win: land, water and pesticides

Recycling doesn't touch the climate, but it skips farming. And there it sweeps the board: up to −79% in land use, −71% in ecotoxicity (the pesticides of conventional cotton) and −31% in water, for 100% recycled cotton versus virgin. The recycled T-shirt doesn't save the climate: it saves land, water and pesticides — the category the label never mentions.

Production weighs more than washing (when line-dried)

The headline doing the rounds in fashion — "the use phase dominates the footprint" — assumes a tumble dryer. With line-drying and full loads it flips: making the T-shirt weighs ~5 times more than washing it 50 times, because each load is shared across all the clothes (the garment gets ~4%) while the manufacturing is charged to it in full. The awkward corollary: changing how you dry matters more than changing the fibre — adding a tumble dryer raises climate impact by +19%, more than switching from virgin to 100% recycled cotton reduces it.

Stacked bars: line-dried, making the T-shirt is 84% of carbon and washing it 50 times 16%; tumble-dried, 78% and 22%.
Figure 2 · Production vs. use phase. Breakdown of the T-shirt's carbon. Line-dried, production is 84%; a tumble dryer raises use to 22% and total climate impact by +19%.

rPET wins on footprint… and there's the catch

Recycled polyester comes out cleanest in all five categories. With standard datasets it is "the winner", and that's why "recycled" sounds sustainable. But the model is blind precisely to what matters most about polyester:

The lesson: the number says "rPET is the best"; the missing data says otherwise. A low footprint is not a guarantee of sustainability: it's a guarantee that you've measured what can be measured. That's exactly the gap the Digital Passport is meant to fill.

The results, in one table

Per T-shirtCarbon footprintvs. virginLand / pesticides / water
Virgin cotton4.66 kgbaseline100% / 100% / 100%
Recycled cotton 30%4.48 kg−4%partial reduction
Recycled cotton 100%≈4.1 kg−13%−79% / −71% / −31%
Recycled polyester (rPET)3.29 kg−29%wins in all five *

* "Wins on the measured footprint" is not "is the best": the number is blind to microplastics and to the fossil CO₂ from incinerating rPET. See the polyester catch.

The country doesn't reduce the impact: it trades it

I modelled the same virgin cotton T-shirt with fibre 100% from the US (rain-fed) and 100% from China (irrigated). Changing country moves water by +42% (US→CN)… but it's a trade-off, not an improvement: rain-fed uses less water in exchange for +39% land and +54% pesticides; irrigated, the reverse. And the climate barely notices (±1%). There is no clean origin: changing country redistributes the impact across water, land and chemicals; it doesn't eliminate it.

Grouped bars for the same virgin cotton from three origins: US rain-fed lowers water but raises land and pesticides; China irrigated, the reverse. Climate barely varies.
Figure 4 · Same cotton, different country. Impact relative to the base mix. Without tracing the origin you don't know which of the three impacts you're paying for — and it's a field the DPP requires at each stage.
Conclusions · The toolkit

What to do, and why the passport

Fashion brand

Before putting "recycled" on the label, be clear about which category improves and which doesn't. And start building the passport data.

Textile buyer

Ask for the multi-criteria profile, not a single figure. And the real % of recycled content, not the headline.

Communication · Green Claims

"Recycled T-shirt = low carbon" isn't supported by the numbers. Make the claim on the right category.

Product / design

Durability, mono-material and real recyclability weigh more than the origin of the fibre.

The LCA only fills one box in the passport

The textile Digital Passport (JRC draft) asks for ~50 data points per garment. All the LCA modelling fills a single block: the environmental footprint. The rest comes from elsewhere.

Passport blockWhere the data comes from
Composition, % recycled, country-by-country traceabilitySupply chain + chain-of-custody certificate
Chemicals (SVHC), durability, microplasticsLaboratory testing
Recyclability, care, repairProduct design
Environmental footprint (PEF)The LCA

That's why "what data do you fill it with?" isn't answered with a calculation but with a data system: traced suppliers, certificates and tests. That's the project the textile industry has to set up between now and ~2027.

The method lesson

During modelling, a single misplaced field — the reference unit of the rPET T-shirt — left its footprint 6.7 times too low and would have published a false headline ("rPET emits 4× less than cotton"). It was caught by quality control, not the software: the calculation threw no error. In an LCA for a declaration or a passport, traceability and verification aren't a formality: they're what separates a data point from a good-looking mistake.

Radical honesty

An indicative profile using an ecoinvent-type public database (BAFU) and declared proxies (woven fabric standing in for knit, cotton dyeing for polyester, cotton end of life for rPET, no LCA factor for microplastics). It is not equivalent to a third-party verified PEF or to an official EPD/DPP: that's the next step, with primary data and a real client. A generic comparison with no brands.

Regulatory update

This is the data the law is going to ask you for

Since Jun 2024

ESPR · Regulation (EU) 2024/1781

Textiles are a priority group. It enables requirements on durability, recycled content, recyclability and the Digital Product Passport.

~2027–2029

Digital Passport · textile delegated act

Delegated act expected ~2027, with ≥18 months' transition → actual application ~2028–2029. ~50 data points per garment.

In force

PEF / PEFCR Apparel & Footwear v3.1

The European textile footprint method. A garment's "EPD" is a PEF profile, not a construction EPD.

In force / in progress

Green Claims · GRS/RCS · textile EPR

They tighten "eco / X% recycled" claims, standardise recycled content and require separate collection of textiles from 2025.

The next step

What if we prepared the EPD and DPP for your garment?

This case uses public data. Your product deserves its own: primary, verifiable, ready for your customer or the Digital Passport.